Mitt Romney can count on more Electoral College votes than President Barack Obama, putting him closer to winning the White House than ever before. That's the new RealClearPolitics analysis based on the latest polling.
With 270 electoral votes needed to win, Romney now has 206, to Obama's 201. That leaves 131 tossups, according to RCP.
Not everybody's likely to sign off on this math. Most analysts agree that there are a handful of truly undecided states, including Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio and Virginia.
But RCP also includes Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. In those states polls are tightening, but still leaning Obama. And the track record favors the Democratic ticket. Republican presidential candidates haven't won there in at least 20 years.
Bottom line, it's likely to be a close election. The Daily Caller's Matt Lewis puts it this way: "Not predicting it, but the possibility that Romney could win the popular vote but lose the electoral vote seems less and less ridiculous," he tweeted.
You all are apparently looking at the wrong websites. Not from 538.com , electoralvote.com , etc. Also, PredictWise.com has NEVER had Mittens as a win. NEV-ER in this entire race. The money people are bettin on the President. President has ALWAYS been 20-30 points ahead. When the people with the money are bettin the President will win----- I go with them.
Polls are an unscientific crapshoot, and any analysis of polls is a crude, futile attempt to cut the crap. The idea of an electoral college map that favors Twitt excites only desperate Republican boobs.
Yeah, why would the left be tooting THIS horn? Unless, of course, it's in an effort to scare those who normally wouldn't vote into voting:
" <WHISTLES> HEYYYYYYYYY!!! You guys like all of this free s**t, don't you? And you really don't care about owning guns and Free Speech as long as the gravy train keeps rollin', right? Well if you don't get out and vote, it looks as though that THEY may WIN...and the FIRST thing that they're going to do is take away all of that free stuff that we've given you and leave you to DIE!! So run, walk, take the bus...STEAL A CAR if you have to!! You put us back in, and you know that all charges will be dropped. Do this for us ONE LAST TIME and we'll see to it that you'll NEVER be bothered with this mundane chore again...and THAT'S a PROMISE we'll keep..."
If we have that happen again just 12 years after it happened the last time we need to reevaluate the electoral college. If the majority of voting Americans want someone but someone else gets elected then the system is flawed.
The real story is not who is ahead but what way the momentum is shifting so close to election time. Obama was well into the lead until the first debate but has steadily gained support since then. Obama will have to shift the momentum back his way to be able to win. If Obama does very well in the last debate if could help reverse the trend and put him back in the lead, otherwise i think Romney will keep gaining on him until election day and win the race. This seems like a remote possibility before the first debate.
Irony: Mitt wins the Popular Vote and loses the Electoral College, The entire Right will begin speaking of changing the Constitution. I would have the laugh of my life if that happens!! Dear Santa, For Xmas all I want is a Mitt loss to the Electorate. Thank you.
I truly believe that Romney will win the popular vote, but will lose in the electoral college. I see Obama getting Iowa, Wisconsin, and Ohio. Romney can win Florida, NC, and Virginia, and still lose. That's my view.
This is my wish. I hope Santa brings me a Romney Popular win and election loss. Because I can't wait to see people flip their opinions of the Electorate. Screenshots are a great great thing. Please Santa!!
Where were these "real Republicans" during the Republican primaries? Oh that's right! Doing jack squat to stop it. News flash! Republicans are already getting dirty (desperate also works) for Romney. One just said Mormons are no longer a Cult. Weird, because I swear I saw Baptists just this year striking in Temple Square in downtown Salt Lake City. When people get desperate, things like honor, integrity and values get tossed out the window. This election year has seen no shortage of that from either side of the two cancers, that feign parties, we are left with.
19 days is plenty of time for either or both campaigns to self destruct, especially now that we're at the whip-up-enthusiasm stage. The more disciplined campaign will be favored but there's no guarantee anyone will be gaffe free.
I'm hoping they both have a good dose of gaffes. That way regardless who wins, Americans can truly see they got what they deserve. It's the People's fault, for letting it come down to who is slightly not as bad as the other choice. They should have been demanding better, expecting real results and holding DC to a higher standard. But, as with everything else in day to day living in the US. We all got lazy. And had to be spoon fed our politicians, alongside everything else that is sponged is now due to laziness and apathy.
Well in the interest of getting rid our addle-pated president Obama, too see an electoral victory for Romney would make me smile for sure. But when that smile ceases to be, i would still be very disappointed. it will have to be y'all who vote for him, cause i say no to both these parties irresponsible tripe that they ram down our throats. Gary Johnson 2012!
You want to get an idea how this is gonna go watch some of the lower races Democrats in particular and see how fast they can run away from oBama. I've had the opportunity to do some traveling in last couple weeks in North Carolina and Virginia and have noticed Democrats running for state and federal positions are running ads that make themselves sound like they're from the Tea Party. they are not mentioning anything about Obama in fact the ones that I'm hearing in North Carolina today are actually disparaging Obama's healthcare . and do you know why? because they want to win.
@Fishbone345 here's a news flash for you , tune in Monday night to watch Obama become totally dismembered on stage. by the time its over Obama will be sitting in the corner rocking himself back and forth saying " I got Osama" as the screen fades to black on his career.
@bsking If by "One of those" you mean someone that's wants the Government reduced, then you betcha! Both candidates want to increase it, the only difference is how manifests. Socialism or Facism. Go out your X in the right box!
Maybe people are actually thinking this year. Well, he failed in his first four years, he has no plan for the next for years...these four yrs. of partying and campaigning while Valerie and Hillary have held the forte down, have been exhausting. He needs a rest!!!
I'm still waiting to hear how Romney plans to keep all the things he swore he would and still manage to cut taxes by 20%. This math system he's using must be ultra advanced, cuz I don't see it happening. Tell you what, if it happens somehow by miracle, I'll change my picture to one of his laughing memes that are all the rage on the Net right now.