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  • #14
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    @MongoAPillager Oh, I don't know what to say, he looks like he needs a good meal and some clothes that fit
    and ....
  • #41
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    @Denizen_Kate He looks like a guy who correctly called the election not once but twice now. More than can be said for some people huh?
  • #1
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    So I guess that the 'big loser' is the Stock Market, because it dropped quite severely AND no one in the 'O-camp' wants to do a story about it. "NO TOUCHING!!"
  • #9
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    @MongoAPillager - You go right ahead and let your life revolve around what Wall Street does. I prefer to rely on myself.
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  • #50
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    Of course, what else are we going to use to predict an outcome subject to chance events?

    Nate Silver is doing things in a good defensible way. I'm sure he could publish his methods in a statistically-oriented journal if he wanted. But there's no such thing as "correct" in what he does. There are many different valid ways to do it and the only sensible metric is how often he predicts the correct outcome.
  • #18
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    @mimi57 Einstein wasn't bad looking when he was younger, but that's beside the point - some people are attracted to people because of their hearts and minds. I'll take a man that can engage in a deep, meaningful conversation with me any day over one who has nothing to offer other than sitting there looking pretty.
  • #20
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    @Cosmonaut Oh, I agree...I like funny men. Robin Williams was my type, all my co-workers laughed , but I
    thought he was too cute!(:
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  • #3
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    Not really. All the predictions, polls , and pundits tossing their two cents worth make me weary. That said, I do not think Nate Silver is a witch form the future. Just your everyday run of the mill evil genius. The man is one smart cookie even with\out the stats.
  • #43
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    Nate,

    If you ever read this .. I want you to know it placed my bets on your work because I knerw it was good!! In terms of relying on information about the election I give credence to you and Chuck Todd, period!! I sent links to your work to my family and a few trusted colleagues. You are absolutely the best.

    On this site I have told people I respect about your work also!
    Thanks for your work.
  • #21
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    I thought Silver's principal contribution this year was his scoffing at the punditry and its ridiculous "Mittmentum" fable. Gov Romney never had momentum of any sort and those who called this a "razor thin" race (like Joe Scarborough) were, as Silver said last week, just entertaining the public, not making serious political judgements.
  • #17
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    Somebody should make Dick Morris get dress up like when he was caught with a hooker in a garter belt and dog collar appear on Imus saying "I was wrong, hit me beat me, I was wrong."
    I really enjoyed Karl Rove's little hissy fit what a clown how much money did he piss down the drain to no avail
  • #5
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    If they are legitimate numbers than yes, statistics cannot be argued. It's a formula, and formulas don't lie. (my credibility is I just got out of stat class during summer semester)
  • #33
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    @kirbstomp1, there's a class for that? I've always been fond of Mark Twain's take. He said there are three kinds of lies: lies, damn lies, and statistics.:)
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